Bets Ban Could Strip R$ 16 Billion from Legal Beneficiaries by the End of Brazil’s 5-Year Licenses

Treasury data obtained via Brazil’s freedom-of-information process show how much money the regulated betting market has already sent to ministries, funds, and other legal beneficiaries under Law No. 14.790/2023. If the ban holds through December 2029, that flow disappears — and so do the broader tax and licensing revenues that sit outside this specific revenue-sharing pool.

1. In 17 months of regulated market activity, the GGR-based contribution generated R$ 6.64 billion for the legal beneficiaries defined by Law No. 14.790/2023. Projected through the end of the five-year licenses in December 2029, the loss from the ban reaches R$ 16 billion, or R$ 18 billion if the already-approved rates for 2027 and 2028 are included.
2. The figures were obtained by BNLData via the Access to Information Law from the Secretariat of Prizes and Betting of the Ministry of Finance (SPA/MF). They cover net revenue from January 2024 to June 2026, and distributions to the legal beneficiaries from February 2025 to June 2026. Almost all of that money started flowing from February 2025, the first month of collections in the regulated market.
3. In the first half of 2026 alone, revenue totaled R$ 2.48 billion. Of the distributions, R$ 341 million went to public security — the National Public Security Fund (FNSP) and the Federal Police — and R$ 427 million to sport. That is the cash flow interrupted by MP No. 1.394/2026, published on 25 September.
4. These amounts do not include what the sector pays directly into the federal treasury. In 2025, the Federal Revenue Service collected R$ 9.95 billion in federal taxes from operators — IRPJ, CSLL, PIS/Cofins, and social security contributions. On top of that, the authorization process generated billions in regulatory fees. If the ban is enforced, those revenues also stop.
5. After the rollout phase in the first half of 2025, collections stabilized. The first half of 2026 delivered R$ 2.483 billion, almost exactly the same as the second half of 2025 at R$ 2.479 billion, even with the higher 2026 rate. June 2026 set a record at R$ 513 million.

For PSPs, acquirers, and banking partners, the interesting part is not just the headline number. It is the split: tourism, the Treasury, and sport took 64% of the R$ 2.36 billion transferred to legal beneficiaries in the semester, while public security received R$ 341 million, including R$ 165.8 million transferred from the FNSP to states and the Federal District, R$ 116.1 million to the FNSP itself, and R$ 59.2 million to Funapol, the Federal Police fund. The data also show R$ 18.4 million to the Army Command for Sisfron in the semester, the same amount sent to state sports departments.